ABSTRACT
Objective:To validate five-year risk prediction models for atherosclerotic cardiovascular di-sease (ASCVD) in a contemporary rural Northern Chinese population.Methods: Totally 6 489 rural adults aged 40 to 79 years without clinical ASCVD were enrolled at baseline between June and August 2010, and followed up through January 2017.Expected prediction risk using the China-PAR (prediction for ASCVD risk in China) model was compared with the pooled cohort equations (PCE) reported in the American College of Cardiology / American Heart Association guideline.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to obtain the observed ASCVD event (including nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease death, nonfatal or fatal stroke) rate at 5 years, and the expected-observed ratios were calculated to eva-luate overestimation or underestimation in the cohort.The participants in the cohort were divided into 4 categories (<5.0%, 5.0%-7.4%, 7.5%-9.9%, and ≥10.0%) for comparisons based on ASCVD prediction risk.The models were assessed by discrimination C statistic, calibration χ2, and calibration charts and plots for illustration as well.Results: Over an average 5.82 years of follow-up in this validation cohort with 6 489 rural Chinese participants, 955 subjects developed a first ASCVD event.Recalibrated China-PAR model overestimated ASCVD events by 22.2% in men and 33.1% in women, while the overestimations were much higher for recalibrated PCE as 67.3% in men and 53.1% in women.Gender-specific China-PAR model had C statistics of 0.696 (95%CI, 0.669-0.723) for men and 0.709 (95%CI, 0.690-0.728) for women, which were similar to those of 0.702 (95%CI, 0.675-0.730) for men and 0.714 (95%CI, 0.695-0.733) for women in the PCE.Calibration χ2 values in China-PAR were 17.2 and 54.2 for men and women, respectively;however, the PCE showed poorer ca-libration (χ2=192.0 for men and χ2=181.2 for women).In addition, the calibration charts and plots illustrated good agreement between the observations and the predictions only in the China-PAR model, especially for men.Conclusion: In this validation cohort of rural Northern Chinese adults, the China-PAR model had better performance of five-year ASCVD risk prediction than the PCE, indicating that recalibrated China-PAR model might be an appropriate tool for risk assessment and primary prevention of ASCVD in China.
ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the physiological characteristics and the association with low prevalence of hypertension in "desert people" ,as an isolated population,in Taklimakan Desert.Methods All data were obtained from each person by questionnaire and standardized physical examinations. Total 469 subjects received examinations,including 359 subjects of "desert people" (M/F=205/154),aged from 15~99 years; 101 subjects of Uyghur from Yutian county (M/F=51/50),aged from 20~85 years,as controls. Some parameters :TC,TG,LDL-C,HDL-C,Apo-A,Apo-B,Lp-a,BUN,UA and CRE were determined. The statistical analysis was performed with SAS9.1.3 Version (Inititute Inc. Cary,NC. USA). Continuos values were expressed as mean?SD.Differences between groups were examined by student's t test,and statistical difference was considered when the P value was less than 0.05.Results 1)The height in "desert people" was significantly taller than that in controls.P value was 0.0317 for male and P60 years,P value was 0.0127 and 0.0443,respectively.(3)The prevalence of hypertension in "desert people" was 7%(24/359),that was significantly lower than that in controls(30.7%,31/101),P
ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the correlation between ACE gene polymorphisms and stroke of Han nationality people in Fangshan district of Beijing. Methods The Insertion/Deletion(ID) polymorphisms of ACE gene were detected in 63 patients with cerebral hemorrhage,and 713 patients with cerebral infarction and 235 health control by polymerase chain reaction(PCR). We observed the frequencies of genotype of deletion homozygote(DD),insertion homozygote(II) and insertion/deletion heterozygote (ID) and the alleles of D and I. Also we analyzed the association among I/D polymorphisms of ACE gene with serum glucose(GLU),triglyceride(TG),cholesterol(TC) levels. Results There was no significant difference in the frequencies of both genotypes of DD,ID,II and alleles of D and I in three groups. The serum GLU levels in patients carrying ID,II genotype were higher than those in healthy control(P